Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 414.769092 472.283072 536.487807 613.766559 704.641486 808.574949 937.102292
2025-09-28 315.063626 385.946837 472.330315 586.446697 734.868834 923.635533 1185.540573
2025-10-05 279.041015 359.346733 463.346314 610.133335 815.617898 1098.641534 1527.978866
2025-10-12 255.808664 343.027231 461.728316 638.755970 902.555943 1291.959655 1931.643061
2025-10-19 230.874358 319.840464 445.897979 642.636070 951.586727 1435.465183 2287.734757
2025-10-26 205.768298 292.748661 420.145962 626.649675 965.633383 1524.275541 2570.276267
2025-11-02 186.408971 271.590198 400.125661 615.773489 984.513122 1621.790327 2886.529536
2025-11-09 176.350343 263.194481 398.272951 633.069541 1051.982585 1813.279305 3421.823703
2025-11-16 163.456354 248.918081 385.282703 629.564679 1081.634537 1940.004593 3857.469040
2025-11-23 151.360539 234.691871 370.742075 621.210148 1100.519402 2048.379446 4279.867033
2025-11-30 142.717410 225.279671 363.186614 624.130738 1140.737790 2205.882814 4854.617356
2025-12-07 132.629200 212.535764 348.613329 612.196234 1149.528414 2298.446657 5297.474610
2025-12-14 124.813758 203.251259 339.619716 610.518124 1180.628096 2449.389622 5945.629713
2025-12-21 114.143503 188.174357 318.942630 583.835204 1155.314611 2467.844682 6244.813607
2025-12-28 111.356603 186.828967 323.212505 607.370846 1242.974222 2772.135723 7467.330336
2026-01-04 109.324690 186.636540 329.545464 635.840220 1346.552427 3140.056275 9034.908825
2026-01-11 104.497828 180.866430 324.594895 639.699195 1392.851743 3369.228275 10244.777455
2026-01-18 97.896213 171.262726 311.293986 623.799396 1388.472158 3458.795662 11001.183067
2026-01-25 92.397292 163.381511 300.787624 612.981886 1395.311400 3582.394495 11941.494764
2026-02-01 90.148365 161.619161 302.511054 630.184537 1477.381146 3948.632742 14025.101248
2026-02-08 86.068703 155.961834 295.707378 626.698641 1503.820037 4150.492154 15523.586725
2026-02-15 81.856090 149.758875 287.267566 618.389239 1515.802526 4309.491449 16918.025074
2026-02-22 78.922894 145.941625 283.603705 621.294066 1560.026794 4588.092697 19053.325057